Inside the research
American Financial Group, Inc.
AFG Research profile · latest available data
Price overview
$138.22
▼ -0.20 (-0.1%)
| 52w hi | $146.73 |
|---|---|
| 52w lo | $122.57 |
| Vol | 288.80K |
| As of | 25 Sep 2026 |
The Verdict
Our score +0.38
| Short | +0.27 |
|---|---|
| Medium | +0.41 |
| Long | +0.52 |
computed 2026-09-27
Key fundamentals
American Financial Group, Inc.
Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
| Market cap | $11.46B |
|---|---|
| Enterprise value | $11.98B |
| Trailing P/E | 12.08x |
| Forward P/E | 11.39x |
| EV / EBITDA | 8.47x |
| P / S (ttm) | 1.42x |
| Profit margin | 11.8% |
| Return on equity | 20.4% |
| Revenue growth | +5.8% |
| Earnings growth | +44.3% |
| Debt / equity | 42.23 |
Layer Breakdown
| Layer | Raw | Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| Fundamental | +0.38 | |
| Sector | +0.02 | |
| Technical | +0.21 | |
| Earnings | +0.00 | |
| Sentiment | +0.00 |
macro × 1.00 · 2026-09-27
Business overview
American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides property and casualty insurance products in the United States. It operates through Property and Casualty Insurance and Other segments. The company offers property and transportation insurance products, such as physical damage and liability coverage for buses and trucks, other specialty transportation niches, inland and ocean marine, agricultural-related products, and other commercial property coverages; specialty casualty insurance, including primarily excess and surplus, executive and professional liability, general liability, umbrella and excess liability, and specialty coverage in targeted markets, as well as customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses and workers compensation insurance; and specialty financial insurance products comprising risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, fidelity and surety products, and trade credit insurance. It sells its property and casualty insurance products through independent insurance agents and brokers. American Financial Group, Inc. was formerly known as American Financial Group Holdings Inc and changed its name to American Financial Group, Inc. in July 1997. The company was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.
Risk Metrics
| Beta vs SPX | 0.39 |
|---|---|
| Corr SPX | 0.29 |
| Annual vol | 21.7% |
| Annual ret | +3.3% |
| Sharpe | 0.15 |
| Max DD | -21.6% |
Window: 504 trading days (504 obs)
Analyst Coverage
| Mean PT | $142.00 |
|---|---|
| High / Low | $158.00 / $127.00 |
| Median | $139.00 |
| Analysts | 6 |
| Strong Buy | 0 | |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | 2 | |
| Hold | 5 | |
| Sell | 0 | |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
Recent rating actions
| 2026-05-06 | Wells Fargo | → Overweight |
| 2026-05-01 | Piper Sandler | → Neutral |
| 2026-04-09 | Wells Fargo | → Overweight |
| 2026-03-25 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | → Market Perform |
| 2026-02-05 | Wells Fargo | → Overweight |
| 2026-01-15 | Wells Fargo | → Overweight |
Material Events
| Date | Event | 8-K |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-05-21 | Shareholder Vote | read |
| 2026-04-30 | Earnings Release, Reg FD Disclosure… | read |
| 2026-02-18 | Officer / Director Change, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-02-04 | Earnings Release, Other Material Event… | read |
| 2025-12-05 | Other Material Event, Exhibits | read |
| 2025-11-05 | Earnings Release, Other Material Event… | read |
| 2025-09-23 | Other Material Event, Exhibits | read |
| 2025-08-06 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2025-06-11 | Reg FD Disclosure, Exhibits | read |
| 2025-05-23 | Officer / Director Change, Shareholder Vote… | read |
| 2025-05-07 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
Insider Trades
| Date | Insider | Role | Action | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Thompson David Lawrence Jr | Director, Officer, Presid | Sell | 11.37K | $1.54M |
| 2026-06-01 | Nwankwo Evans N | Director | Grant | 1.30K | — |
| 2026-06-01 | Newport Roger K | Director | Grant | 1.30K | — |
| 2026-06-01 | Murray Amy Y | Director | Grant | 1.30K | — |
| 2026-06-01 | Martin Mary Beth | Director | Grant | 1.30K | — |
| 2026-06-01 | VERITY WILLIAM W | Director | Grant | 1.30K | — |
| 2026-06-01 | JOSEPH GREGORY G | Director | Grant | 1.30K | — |
| 2026-06-01 | VON LEHMAN JOHN I | Director | Grant | 1.30K | — |
Flow & Concentration
| Insider 180d net | -$1.54M |
|---|---|
| Insider buys / sells | 0 / 1 |
| Insider bias | Neutral |
| 13F holders | 9 |
| Top-5 share | 95.3% |
| HHI | 3,273 (concentrated) |
Top Holders
| Holder | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fidelity / FMR LLC | $765.03M | 5.47M |
| State Street Corp | $431.03M | 3.08M |
| AQR Capital Management | $200.27M | 1.44M |
| Millennium Management | $63.39M | 453.01K |
| Citadel Advisors | $49.34M | 352.60K |
| Capital Research / Capital World | $48.53M | 346.77K |
| Renaissance Technologies | $14.58M | 104.20K |
| Bridgewater Associates | $10.91M | 77.99K |
| T. Rowe Price Group | $9.40K | 67.19K |
As of 2026-06-30
Dividends
| Yield (TTM) | 4.44% |
|---|---|
| $ / share (TTM) | $6.14 |
| 5y CAGR | +13.6% |
Annual dividend per share
| 2021 | $28.06 |
|---|---|
| 2022 | $14.31 |
| 2023 | $8.10 |
| 2024 | $9.43 |
| 2025 | $7.28 |
| 2026 | $3.26 |
SEC Filings
The Long Run
FY 2010–2025 · 16 years
| Line | Latest | CAGR | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.17B | +4.3% | |
| Operating income | $1.07B | +1.9% | |
| Net income | $842.00M | +3.3% | |
| Cash from ops | $1.53B | +3.1% |
Indices
Recent Sessions
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | $138.68 | $138.68 | $137.53 | $138.22 | 288.80K |
| Sep 24 | $140.34 | $141.29 | $138.32 | $138.42 | 333.80K |
| Sep 23 | $140.32 | $142.23 | $139.55 | $139.64 | 320.90K |
| Sep 22 | $141.17 | $141.31 | $139.51 | $140.47 | 341.90K |
| Sep 21 | $142.15 | $143.01 | $139.76 | $141.24 | 296.80K |
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