Inside the research

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

AGO Research profile · latest available data

Price overview

$69.49

▲ +1.09 (+1.6%)

52w hi$90.86
52w lo$68.40
Vol747.50K
As of25 Sep 2026

The Verdict

Hold

Our score -0.23

Short-0.06
Medium-0.32
Long-0.37

computed 2026-09-27

Key fundamentals

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

Market cap$3.06B
Enterprise value$3.54B
Trailing P/E9.24x
Forward P/E9.87x
P / S (ttm)3.76x
Profit margin43.2%
Return on equity6.7%
Revenue growth-0.5%
Earnings growth-57.7%
Debt / equity30.56

Layer Breakdown

LayerRawContribution
Fundamental+0.11
Sector+0.02
Technical-0.31
Earnings+0.00
Sentiment+0.35

macro × 1.00 · 2026-09-27

Business overview

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through Insurance and Asset Management segments. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It also provides specialty insurance and reinsurance on transactions with risk profiles similar to those of its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form, as well as offers credit protection through reinsurance. In addition, the company insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed bonds, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, and pooled infrastructure obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, pooled corporate obligations, and financial products. Additionally, the company offers specialty business, such as diversified real estate, insurance reserve financing and securitizations, pooled corporate obligations, and aircraft residual value insurance (RVI) transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Bermuda · assuredguaranty.com

Risk Metrics

Beta vs SPX0.55
Corr SPX0.37
Annual vol24.3%
Annual ret-4.8%
Sharpe-0.20
Max DD-28.4%

Window: 504 trading days (504 obs)

Analyst Coverage

Mean PT$92.33
High / Low$103.00 / $80.00
Median$94.00
Analysts3
Strong Buy1
Buy1
Hold1
Sell0
Strong Sell0

Recent rating actions

2026-03-19Keefe, Bruyette & Woods→ Outperform
2025-11-19Keefe, Bruyette & Woods→ Outperform
2025-11-17UBS→ Neutral
2025-08-13UBS→ Neutral
2024-11-18UBS→ Neutral
2024-11-18Keefe, Bruyette & Woods→ Outperform

Material Events

DateEvent8-K
2026-08-07Reg FD Disclosureread
2026-08-06Earnings Release, Exhibitsread
2026-05-08Reg FD Disclosureread
2026-05-07Earnings Release, Exhibitsread
2026-05-05Shareholder Voteread
2026-03-23Earnings Release, Exhibitsread
2026-03-19Officer / Director Changeread
2026-02-27Earnings Release, Reg FD Disclosure…read
2026-02-26Earnings Release, Exhibitsread
2026-01-21Material Agreement, Reg FD Disclosure…read
2025-11-07Reg FD Disclosureread
2025-11-06Earnings Release, Exhibitsread

Flow & Concentration

Insider 180d net$0
Insider buys / sells0 / 0
Insider biasNeutral
13F holders9
Top-5 share95.8%
HHI3,441 (concentrated)

Top Holders

HolderValueShares
State Street Corp$127.17M1.59M
AQR Capital Management$111.67M1.40M
Citadel Advisors$17.67M220.41K
Capital Research / Capital World$15.26M190.31K
Fidelity / FMR LLC$7.74M96.57K
Millennium Management$6.70M83.63K
Bridgewater Associates$5.32M66.36K
Renaissance Technologies$352.70K4.40K
T. Rowe Price Group$3.34K41.63K

As of 2026-06-30

SEC Filings

DateFormDoc
2026-08-0710-Qview
2026-08-078-Kview
2026-08-068-Kview
2026-07-244view
2026-07-064view
2026-06-184view
2026-06-183view
2026-06-014view
2026-05-294view
2026-05-224view
2026-05-124view
2026-05-088-Kview
2026-05-0810-Qview
2026-05-078-Kview
2026-05-058-Kview

The Long Run

FY 2010–2025 · 16 years

LineLatestCAGRTrend
Revenue$53.00M-20.9%
Net income$503.00M+16.5%
Cash from ops$461.00M+18.0%

Indices

S&P SmallCap 600

Recent Sessions

DateOpenHighLowCloseVol
Sep 25$70.12$71.20$69.09$69.49747.50K
Sep 24$69.56$69.56$68.03$68.40624.10K
Sep 23$70.87$71.33$68.80$68.99555.20K
Sep 22$71.22$71.27$70.19$70.74572.30K
Sep 21$71.15$71.47$70.50$71.07504.80K

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