Inside the research
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
AGO Research profile · latest available data
Price overview
$69.49
▲ +1.09 (+1.6%)
| 52w hi | $90.86 |
|---|---|
| 52w lo | $68.40 |
| Vol | 747.50K |
| As of | 25 Sep 2026 |
The Verdict
Our score -0.23
| Short | -0.06 |
|---|---|
| Medium | -0.32 |
| Long | -0.37 |
computed 2026-09-27
Key fundamentals
Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty
| Market cap | $3.06B |
|---|---|
| Enterprise value | $3.54B |
| Trailing P/E | 9.24x |
| Forward P/E | 9.87x |
| P / S (ttm) | 3.76x |
| Profit margin | 43.2% |
| Return on equity | 6.7% |
| Revenue growth | -0.5% |
| Earnings growth | -57.7% |
| Debt / equity | 30.56 |
Layer Breakdown
| Layer | Raw | Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| Fundamental | +0.11 | |
| Sector | +0.02 | |
| Technical | -0.31 | |
| Earnings | +0.00 | |
| Sentiment | +0.35 |
macro × 1.00 · 2026-09-27
Business overview
Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through Insurance and Asset Management segments. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. It also provides specialty insurance and reinsurance on transactions with risk profiles similar to those of its structured finance exposures written in financial guaranty form, as well as offers credit protection through reinsurance. In addition, the company insures and reinsures various the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed bonds, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds. Further, it involved in insuring and reinsuring of non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, and pooled infrastructure obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, life insurance transactions, pooled corporate obligations, and financial products. Additionally, the company offers specialty business, such as diversified real estate, insurance reserve financing and securitizations, pooled corporate obligations, and aircraft residual value insurance (RVI) transactions; and asset management services comprising investment advisory services. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Risk Metrics
| Beta vs SPX | 0.55 |
|---|---|
| Corr SPX | 0.37 |
| Annual vol | 24.3% |
| Annual ret | -4.8% |
| Sharpe | -0.20 |
| Max DD | -28.4% |
Window: 504 trading days (504 obs)
Analyst Coverage
| Mean PT | $92.33 |
|---|---|
| High / Low | $103.00 / $80.00 |
| Median | $94.00 |
| Analysts | 3 |
| Strong Buy | 1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | 1 | |
| Hold | 1 | |
| Sell | 0 | |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
Recent rating actions
| 2026-03-19 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | → Outperform |
| 2025-11-19 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | → Outperform |
| 2025-11-17 | UBS | → Neutral |
| 2025-08-13 | UBS | → Neutral |
| 2024-11-18 | UBS | → Neutral |
| 2024-11-18 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | → Outperform |
Material Events
| Date | Event | 8-K |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Reg FD Disclosure | read |
| 2026-08-06 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-05-08 | Reg FD Disclosure | read |
| 2026-05-07 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-05-05 | Shareholder Vote | read |
| 2026-03-23 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-03-19 | Officer / Director Change | read |
| 2026-02-27 | Earnings Release, Reg FD Disclosure… | read |
| 2026-02-26 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-01-21 | Material Agreement, Reg FD Disclosure… | read |
| 2025-11-07 | Reg FD Disclosure | read |
| 2025-11-06 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
Flow & Concentration
| Insider 180d net | $0 |
|---|---|
| Insider buys / sells | 0 / 0 |
| Insider bias | Neutral |
| 13F holders | 9 |
| Top-5 share | 95.8% |
| HHI | 3,441 (concentrated) |
Top Holders
| Holder | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| State Street Corp | $127.17M | 1.59M |
| AQR Capital Management | $111.67M | 1.40M |
| Citadel Advisors | $17.67M | 220.41K |
| Capital Research / Capital World | $15.26M | 190.31K |
| Fidelity / FMR LLC | $7.74M | 96.57K |
| Millennium Management | $6.70M | 83.63K |
| Bridgewater Associates | $5.32M | 66.36K |
| Renaissance Technologies | $352.70K | 4.40K |
| T. Rowe Price Group | $3.34K | 41.63K |
As of 2026-06-30
SEC Filings
The Long Run
FY 2010–2025 · 16 years
| Line | Latest | CAGR | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $53.00M | -20.9% | |
| Net income | $503.00M | +16.5% | |
| Cash from ops | $461.00M | +18.0% |
Indices
Recent Sessions
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | $70.12 | $71.20 | $69.09 | $69.49 | 747.50K |
| Sep 24 | $69.56 | $69.56 | $68.03 | $68.40 | 624.10K |
| Sep 23 | $70.87 | $71.33 | $68.80 | $68.99 | 555.20K |
| Sep 22 | $71.22 | $71.27 | $70.19 | $70.74 | 572.30K |
| Sep 21 | $71.15 | $71.47 | $70.50 | $71.07 | 504.80K |
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