Inside the research
Vistra Corp.
VST Research profile · latest available data
Price overview
$138.46
▲ +0.52 (+0.4%)
| 52w hi | $209.63 |
|---|---|
| 52w lo | $134.30 |
| Vol | 4.90M |
| As of | 25 Sep 2026 |
The Verdict
Our score -0.33
| Short | +0.04 |
|---|---|
| Medium | -0.57 |
| Long | -0.57 |
computed 2026-09-27
Key fundamentals
Vistra Corp.
Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
| Market cap | $46.47B |
|---|---|
| Enterprise value | $69.03B |
| Trailing P/E | 23.35x |
| Forward P/E | 13.36x |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.39x |
| P / S (ttm) | 2.42x |
| Profit margin | 11.6% |
| Return on equity | 43.0% |
| Revenue growth | -5.5% |
| Earnings growth | -6.2% |
| Debt / equity | 373.28 |
Layer Breakdown
| Layer | Raw | Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| Fundamental | +0.15 | |
| Sector | -0.10 | |
| Technical | -0.24 | |
| Earnings | +0.00 | |
| Sentiment | +0.22 |
macro × 1.00 · 2026-09-27
Business overview
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
Risk Metrics
| Beta vs SPX | 1.84 |
|---|---|
| Corr SPX | 0.50 |
| Annual vol | 59.1% |
| Annual ret | +30.4% |
| Sharpe | 0.51 |
| Max DD | -48.9% |
Window: 504 trading days (504 obs)
Analyst Coverage
| Mean PT | $229.11 |
|---|---|
| High / Low | $320.00 / $97.00 |
| Median | $230.50 |
| Analysts | 18 |
| Strong Buy | 4 | |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | 15 | |
| Hold | 0 | |
| Sell | 1 | |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
Recent rating actions
| 2026-05-04 | TD Cowen | → Buy |
| 2026-04-30 | JP Morgan | → Overweight |
| 2026-03-19 | JP Morgan | → Overweight |
| 2026-02-27 | Wells Fargo | → Overweight |
| 2026-02-10 | Jefferies | → Buy |
| 2026-01-20 | Wells Fargo | → Overweight |
Material Events
| Date | Event | 8-K |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-07-16 | Material Agreement, Material Obligation… | read |
| 2026-07-14 | Other Material Event | read |
| 2026-06-30 | Material Agreement, Material Obligation… | read |
| 2026-05-07 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-05-04 | Shareholder Vote | read |
| 2026-04-28 | Material Agreement, Material Obligation… | read |
| 2026-02-26 | Earnings Release, Exhibits | read |
| 2026-01-27 | Material Agreement, Material Obligation… | read |
| 2026-01-09 | Reg FD Disclosure | read |
| 2026-01-05 | Material Agreement, Securities Issuance… | read |
| 2025-12-17 | Other Material Event | read |
Insider Trades
| Date | Insider | Role | Action | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | SULT JOHN R | Sell | 6.50K | $1.10M | |
| 2026-06-18 | Acosta Arcilia | Sell | 7.50K | $1.24M | |
| 2026-06-16 | HELM SCOTT B | Sell | 25.00K | $4.00M | |
| 2026-06-15 | BARBAS PAUL M | Sell | 244 | $37.33K | |
| 2026-06-12 | BARBAS PAUL M | Sell | 244 | $36.09K | |
| 2026-06-02 | Montemayor Margaret | SVP, Chief Accounting Off | Sell | 4.60K | $736.00K |
| 2026-05-27 | Montemayor Margaret | SVP, Chief Accounting Off | Sell | 5.00K | $824.80K |
| 2026-05-15 | SULT JOHN R | Grant | 1.27K | — | |
| 2026-05-15 | Pitesa John William | Grant | 1.27K | — | |
| 2026-05-15 | HELM SCOTT B | Grant | 2.01K | — |
Flow & Concentration
| Insider 180d net | -$7.98M |
|---|---|
| Insider buys / sells | 0 / 7 |
| Insider bias | Sellers |
| 13F holders | 9 |
| Top-5 share | 96.0% |
| HHI | 2,661 (concentrated) |
Top Holders
| Holder | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| State Street Corp | $2.67B | 16.85M |
| Fidelity / FMR LLC | $2.25B | 14.16M |
| Capital Research / Capital World | $1.04B | 6.57M |
| Citadel Advisors | $790.48M | 4.98M |
| Millennium Management | $206.82M | 1.30M |
| Renaissance Technologies | $121.40M | 765.27K |
| Bridgewater Associates | $119.24M | 751.70K |
| AQR Capital Management | $45.99M | 289.92K |
| T. Rowe Price Group | $452.26K | 2.85M |
As of 2026-06-30
Connections
Subsidiarys: TXU Energy
Dividends
| Yield (TTM) | 0.33% |
|---|---|
| $ / share (TTM) | $0.46 |
| 5y CAGR | +10.8% |
Annual dividend per share
| 2021 | $0.60 |
|---|---|
| 2022 | $0.72 |
| 2023 | $0.82 |
| 2024 | $0.88 |
| 2025 | $0.90 |
| 2026 | $0.23 |
Federal Contracts
| Amount | Agency | Description |
|---|---|---|
| $19.94M | General Services Administration | IGF::OT::IGF--JOINT CYBER PLANNING SERVICES |
| $9.17M | General Services Administration | J3 MANPOWER SUPPORT SERVICES |
| $6.74M | Department of Homeland Security | TRANSPORTATION SERVICES FOR ICE HQ |
| $4.07M | Department of Defense | DEOC CAS SUPPORT |
| $2.85M | Department of Veterans Affairs | BPA | CUSTOMER SERVICE SURVEYS MDEO |
| $2.77M | Department of Health and Human Services | CONTRACT FOR INTERNAL/BUSINESS COMMUNICATION SERVICES |
| $2.74M | Department of Defense | OPERATIONAL & FORCE MANAGEMENT SUPPORT (OFMS) STRATEGIC ANALYSIS SERVICES |
| $2.73M | Department of Defense | INTERORGANIZATIONAL COORDINATION SUPPORT SERVICES |
SEC Filings
The Long Run
FY 2019–2025 · 7 years
| Line | Latest | CAGR | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.59B | +10.2% | |
| Operating income | $4.08B | +19.6% | |
| Net income | $944.00M | -36.8% | |
| Cash from ops | $4.07B | +18.5% |
Indices
Recent Sessions
| Date | Open | High | Low | Close | Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | $138.96 | $140.10 | $136.02 | $138.46 | 4.90M |
| Sep 24 | $136.20 | $139.13 | $135.98 | $137.94 | 3.65M |
| Sep 23 | $139.57 | $140.50 | $137.62 | $137.97 | 4.41M |
| Sep 22 | $141.44 | $142.64 | $140.00 | $140.41 | 4.77M |
| Sep 21 | $142.00 | $142.44 | $138.95 | $140.78 | 4.51M |
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