Bullish RSI / MACD divergence (single-name timing trigger)

Code: research/bullish_divergence.py Report: research/bullish_divergence_report.json (n=41,288)

Headline: a pivot low at lower price than the previous pivot low but with the oscillator at a HIGHER reading is a textbook bullish divergence. Both flavours (RSI and MACD histogram) produce material edge even unconditionally — and amplify cleanly when stratified by trailing 252d drawdown:

This is one of the strongest standalone short-horizon signals in the repo — bigger raw edge than every other chart pattern we've tested (beats coil_breakout, PEAD, bear_flag, even unconditional gap patterns). The OOS amplification on drawdown is on top.

The reason oscillator divergences work where oscillator extremes don't: a divergence requires two pivots — i.e. price has actually established a swing-low structure — whereas an extreme reading can fire anywhere mid-slide.